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Boarding Call 🚀

✈️ Hotel pricing is finally softening — and it’s creating a rare advantage for corporate travel buyers. While business travel demand is rising, hotel rates are barely growing and, in some cases, even declining. This unusual imbalance is shifting negotiation power back to buyers for the first time in years. Companies that act now can secure better rates, stronger terms, and added value across their programs. The window is open — but it won’t stay that way for long.

Something unusual is happening in the hotel market: prices are actually going down.

U.S. hotel prices fell 2.2% year-over-year — the only travel category to decline, according to the U.S. Travel Association's latest Travel Price Index. Meanwhile, RevPAR grew just 0.6% in 2026 forecasts (CoStar/Tourism Economics), with occupancy slipping to 62.1%. ADR growth across North America is projected at just 1.6% — a fraction of the aggressive rate hikes hotels pushed through in 2022–2024.

For corporate travel managers, this creates a rare window: hotel pricing power is weakening at exactly the moment your travel volumes are growing.

🔄 Why the power is shifting to buyers

Three things are happening simultaneously that haven't aligned like this in years:

Hotels are losing their pricing cushion. Leisure travel — the segment that propped up hotel rates during and after the pandemic — is softening. Hotels can no longer fall back on weekend leisure demand to fill rooms and justify high corporate rates. RevPAR declined 3.0% over the trailing 12 months ending November 2025 (Hotel Online). The fallback is gone.

Corporate volumes are climbing. GBTA forecasts global business travel spending will hit $1.69 trillion in 2026, up 8.1% year-over-year. Companies are sending more people on the road, which means more room nights to negotiate with. If your program is growing, your leverage is growing with it.

Hotels know the numbers. A BTN survey of 232 travel managers found that 61% expect 2026 hotel rates to be higher than 2025 — but only 24% anticipate increases above 5%. CWT's CEO put it directly: "Corporate travel buyers are regaining leverage and have more room to optimize their programs." When the hotel industry's own partners are saying buyers have the upper hand, listen.

💡What to do with this leverage

The smart move isn't just asking for lower rates. It's rethinking how you negotiate.

Push for hybrid rate structures. The old model of a single fixed rate for the year is giving way. GBTA research shows 60% of travel managers now consider the hybrid model their ideal: a fixed rate for your core business travel nights, combined with a dynamic discount off BAR for shoulder periods, extended stays, and bleisure extensions. Only 7% of buyers negotiate purely dynamic rates. The hybrid gives you certainty where you need it and market upside where you don't.

Use real-time benchmarking data. Travel managers today have access to benchmarking tools that show exactly what comparable hotels charge in the same market. This eliminates the guessing game. If a hotel proposes a 5% increase and the market data shows ADR growing 1.6%, you have the receipts. Bring them to the table.

Negotiate value, not just price. When the rate conversation stalls, shift to total value: free cancellations, room upgrades, late checkout, breakfast inclusions, meeting room credits. In a soft market, hotels would rather add amenities than cut rate — and those amenities can reduce your total trip cost significantly.

Consolidate to strengthen your position. If you're booking across 15 different hotel chains, your per-brand volume is diluted. Concentrating spend with fewer preferred partners gives you higher per-property volume — which is exactly the currency hotels care about. Fewer trips at higher per-booking value is more attractive to a hotel than scattered low-volume bookings.

📊 The numbers behind the window

Don't just take our word for it. Here's what's driving the shift:

  • -2.2% U.S. hotel prices YoY — the only travel category to decline (U.S. Travel Association)

  • 0.6% RevPAR growth forecast for 2026 (CoStar/Tourism Economics)

  • 1.6% projected North American hotel ADR growth (CWT/GBTA)

  • 62.1% forecast occupancy — down from 2025 (CoStar)

  • $1.69T global business travel spend forecast for 2026 (+8.1% YoY) (GBTA)

  • 60% of travel managers prefer hybrid rate structures (GBTA)

  • 24% expect hotel rate increases above 5% — the rest see flat or modest growth (BTN)

👥 What this means for different roles

Travel managers: This is your negotiation cycle to win. Armed with benchmarking data and growing volumes, push for hybrid structures, meaningful rate holds, and value-adds. Don't let RFP inertia carry you into a repeat of last year's terms. The market has shifted — your proposals should reflect that.

Finance teams: Hotel cost forecasts should factor in the 1–2% ADR growth reality, not the 5–8% increases of recent years. If your budget models still assume aggressive hotel inflation, you're probably over-reserving. Recalibrate and reallocate to where costs are actually rising (airfare, ground transport).

Procurement: The leverage window has a shelf life. Event-driven demand (FIFA World Cup markets, for instance) will create pockets of pricing pressure later in 2026. Lock in favorable terms now, especially in your top 10 markets. Hotels that see committed volume today will be more flexible than hotels fielding RFPs during peak season.

📈 Stat of the week

Hotel prices fell 2.2% year-over-year while corporate travel volumes grew 8.1%. The last time the gap between supply softness and demand growth was this wide, it took buyers 18 months to fully capitalize.

Don't wait 18 months.

🎯 The bottom line

The hotel market is handing corporate travel buyers a rare gift: weakening pricing power on the supply side at the exact moment demand is growing on the buy side. This misalignment won't last forever — leisure demand will recover, event-driven pricing will spike in key markets, and hotels will find their footing.

The companies that move now — renegotiating rates, shifting to hybrid structures, consolidating programs, and using data to back every ask — will lock in savings that compound across the entire program year. The ones that wait will wonder why their rates crept back up by Q3.

Travel Code's platform gives you the data advantage in every hotel negotiation. Real-time rate benchmarking, policy-enforced booking across your preferred partners, and per-trip cost analytics that show exactly where your hotel spend creates value. When the market gives you leverage, smart tools help you use it. See how it works →

🔮 Coming next week

Fuel surcharges are back — and this time they're not going away quietly. We'll break down how the Iran-driven jet fuel spike is hitting corporate airfares and what travel managers can do about it.

Manage travel. Don’t just book it.

— Egor Karpovich, Co-Founder, Travel Code

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